{"id":16614,"date":"2024-09-20T12:34:41","date_gmt":"2024-09-20T10:34:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/?p=16614"},"modified":"2025-03-26T13:22:22","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T12:22:22","slug":"predicting-poverty-using-regression","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/?p=16614","title":{"rendered":"Predicting poverty using regression"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Luka Urban\u010d, Marko Grobelnik and Joao Pita Costa<\/p>\n<p><strong>Abstract<\/strong><br \/>Although Poverty reduction being set as the first sustainable de-<br \/>velopment goal set to be reached in 2030 by the United Nations,<br \/>data indicates that progress might be far from expected by the<br \/>end date. Moreover, the parameters affecting poverty levels at<br \/>the different nations is diverse and makes it extremely difficult to<br \/>establish a reasonable machine learning approach to contribute<br \/>to that aim. This paper uses a variety of regression models to<br \/>predict poverty rates. The models are built using a wide selection<br \/>of data, which is preprocessed and used to generate different<br \/>files before being used to train an OLS linear regression model, a<br \/>lasso regression model, a ridge regression model and an elastic<br \/>net regression model. We were successful in creating a ridge re-<br \/>gression model with a RMSE of 3.6%, which would be considered<br \/>high, especially after taking into account the fact that the model<br \/>works on a global basis and is not limited to a specific area or<br \/>group of countries.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/IS2024_-_SIKDD_2024_paper_20-1.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of IS2024_-_SIKDD_2024_paper_20-1.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-fd942003-a1a9-4d6b-9985-29850c7443da\" href=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/IS2024_-_SIKDD_2024_paper_20-1.pdf\">IS2024_-_SIKDD_2024_paper_20-1<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/IS2024_-_SIKDD_2024_paper_20-1.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-fd942003-a1a9-4d6b-9985-29850c7443da\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":24966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[109,102],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-doi-sikdd-2024","category-papers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16614"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16614\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25012,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16614\/revisions\/25012"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/24966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}