{"id":16467,"date":"2024-09-19T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/?p=16467"},"modified":"2025-03-26T13:32:35","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T12:32:35","slug":"vrednost-elektricne-energije-intermitirajocih-virov-in-kanibalizem-na-trgu-z-elektricno-energijo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/?p=16467","title":{"rendered":"Vrednost elektri\u010dne energije intermitirajo\u010dih virov in kanibalizem na trgu z elektri\u010dno energijo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Rafael Mihali\u010d<\/p>\n<p><strong>POVZETEK<\/strong><br \/>Intermitirajo\u010di viri elektri\u010dne energije (OVE), predvsem<br \/>vetrne (VE) in son\u010dne elektrarne (SE), prevzemajo vedno ve\u010dji<br \/>dele\u017e v proizvodnji elektri\u010dne energije. V Sloveniji je rast<br \/>koli\u010dine SE eksplozivna. Tak razvoj lahko pripi\u0161emo<br \/>subvencijam in privilegiranemu polo\u017eaju na trgu. \u010ce naj bi bila<br \/>&#8220;veter in sonce zastonj&#8221; in subvencije kljub temu potrebne, se<br \/>lahko upravi\u010deno vpra\u0161amo: &#8220;Koliko pa je na trgu sploh vredna<br \/>elektri\u010dna energija iz OVE?&#8221;<br \/>V \u010dlanku smo zato za Nem\u010dijo in Slovenijo analizirali<br \/>tr\u017eno vrednost proizvodnje OVE za leto 2023 in prvo polovico<br \/>leta 2024. Izra\u010duni so temeljili na javno dostopnih podatkih.<br \/>Izkazalo se je, da zaradi lastnosti OVE in obratovalnih<br \/>zna\u010dilnosti elektroenergetskega sistema (EES) tako v Nem\u010diji,<br \/>kakor Sloveniji, pride do izrazitega tako imenovanega<br \/>kanibalskega u\u010dinka na trgu. V Sloveniji omenjeni u\u010dinek<br \/>zmanj\u0161a tr\u017eno vrednost energije iz SE v letu 2024 na nekaj nad<br \/>polovico tiste, ki bi jo pri\u010dakovali, \u010de v EES ne bi bilo SE. Ta<br \/>vrednost je le malo nad tisto v Nem\u010diji, \u010deprav je relativni dele\u017e<br \/>energije iz SE pribli\u017eno 2 x manj\u0161i, kot v Nem\u010diji. Sklepamo,<br \/>lahko, da zaradi povezanosti Entso-e sistema Nemci problem<br \/>kanibalizma cen deloma &#8220;izva\u017eajo&#8221;, mi pa &#8220;uva\u017eamo&#8221;.<br \/>Pri vsem tem nismo upo\u0161tevamo stro\u0161kov obratovanja in<br \/>nadgradnje EES zaradi OVE. \u017de samo &#8220;redispatching&#8221; potisne<br \/>vrednost energije iz Nem\u0161kih SE navzdol proti \u00bc pri\u010dakovane<br \/>vrednosti (tiste brez SE v EES).<br \/>Brez slabe vesti lahko torej trdimo, da se bo dejanska tr\u017ena<br \/>vrednost energije bodo\u010dih OVE ob trenutnem trendu rasti hitro<br \/>bli\u017eala vrednosti 0. In to ne upo\u0161tevajo\u010d dodatnih stro\u0161kov EES<br \/>zaradi OVE.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IS2024_-_Environment_paper_5.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of IS2024_-_Environment_paper_5.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-faf3e549-23eb-4152-aba1-d172e5a1713c\" href=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IS2024_-_Environment_paper_5.pdf\">IS2024_-_Environment_paper_5<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IS2024_-_Environment_paper_5.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-faf3e549-23eb-4152-aba1-d172e5a1713c\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":24966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111,102],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16467","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-doi-env-2024","category-papers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16467","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16467"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16467\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25032,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16467\/revisions\/25032"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/24966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}