{"id":16464,"date":"2024-09-19T10:29:07","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T08:29:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/?p=16464"},"modified":"2025-03-26T13:31:41","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T12:31:41","slug":"serious-errors-in-the-assessment-of-the-atmospheric-greenhouse-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/?p=16464","title":{"rendered":"Serious Errors in the Assessment of the Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Erik Margan<\/p>\n<p><strong>POVZETEK<\/strong><br \/>Toplogredni u\u010dinek ozra\u010dja je osnovni proces na katerem<br \/>Medvladni odbor za podnebne spremembe (Intergovernmental<br \/>Panel for Climate Change, IPCC) v svojih poro\u010dilih (Assessment<br \/>Reports, AR) analizira izhodi\u0161\u010dno stanje in napoveduje<br \/>pri\u010dakovane podnebne spremembe, ter njihove posledice. Po<br \/>njihovih ugotovitvah je segrevanje ozra\u010dja, ki ga bele\u017eimo v<br \/>zadnjih 150 letih prete\u017eno posledica \u010dlovekovih dejavnosti,<br \/>predvsem izpustov toplogrednih plinov v ozra\u010dje. Na osnovi<br \/>pri\u010dakovanih sprememb IPCC pripravlja priporo\u010dila vladam s<br \/>katerimi ukrepi bi omilili podnebne spremembe in bla\u017eili njihove<br \/>posledice, ter ustrezno prilagodili zakonodajo za uveljavljanje in<br \/>izvajanje teh ukrepov, \u010demur so se s svojimi podpisi Pari\u0161ke<br \/>pogodbe zavezale skoraj vse dr\u017eave \u010dlanice Organizacije<br \/>zdru\u017eenih narodov. Metodologija, ki jo uporablja IPCC za svoje<br \/>analize in napovedi vsebuje vrsto napak. V tem prispevku se<br \/>bomo omejili na nekaj resnih napak v oceni toplogrednega<br \/>u\u010dinka v dokumentih IPCC, kar vzbuja mo\u010dan dvom v pravilnost<br \/>njihovih ugotovitev. Zaradi tega je \u010dlove\u0161ki vpliv na podnebne<br \/>spremembe in njihove pri\u010dakovane posledice mo\u010dno precenjen,<br \/>kar posledi\u010dno zmanj\u0161uje nujnost ukrepanja in sprejetja raznih<br \/>predlaganih omejevalnih zakonov.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IS2024_-_Environment_paper_4.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of IS2024_-_Environment_paper_4.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-903d1caa-7954-4c78-b48c-ef84c4df2f05\" href=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IS2024_-_Environment_paper_4.pdf\">IS2024_-_Environment_paper_4<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IS2024_-_Environment_paper_4.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-903d1caa-7954-4c78-b48c-ef84c4df2f05\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":24966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111,102],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-doi-env-2024","category-papers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16464","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16464"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16464\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25031,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16464\/revisions\/25031"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/24966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16464"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16464"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/is.ijs.si\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16464"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}